The lifecycle engineering (LCE) research group (SIM² – KU Leuven) of the KU Leuven allows to estimate that the global aluminium scrap surplus will emerge soon and reach a size of 5.4 million tonnes by 2030 and 8.7 million tonnes by 2040, if currently adopted aluminium sorting and recycling methods are not improved.
Here is the link to “Forecasting global aluminium flows to demonstrate the need for improved sorting and recycling methods”: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0956053X21006085